The conference schedule includes three full days of presentations. Mornings are taken up by plenary sessions, starting at 8 am. Afternoons are comprised of two concurrent sessions, ending around 5 pm. These are followed on various days by a social, an authors meeting, and a poster session.

Monday, July 17

• Evening Social and Registration

Tuesday, July 18

• Morning Plenary Session
• Afternoon Concurrent A - Exotic Pests
• Afternoon Concurrent B - Monitoring Methods
• Authors Meeting

Wednesday, July 19

• Morning Plenary Session
• Afternoon Concurrent A - Native Pests
• Afternoon Concurrent B - Statistical Methods / Lands
• Evening Poster Session

Thursday, July 20

• Morning Plenary Session
• Afternoon Concurrent A - Fire
• Afternoon Concurrent B - Air and Water / Biodiversity

Registration

A registration desk will be available Monday, July 17th from 2 to 5 pm. Those who have preregistered will be able to pick up their conference materials, walk on registrations will also be accepted.

Social

An ice breaker reception will be held from 5:30 to 7:30 pm in the covered, outdoor Pavilion at the conference hotel. Food will be an actively cooked BBQ featuring chicken, hamburgers, and bratwurst along with salad and fixings. Soft-drinks will be paid for by the conference. Alcohol will be available at a cash-bar.

1:30 to 5:00 pm, July 20

Air and Water

Vulnerability to wind damage in Maine forests (Wilson)

The Influence of Forest Management on Vulnerability to Severe Weather (Beach)

Utilizing Remotely Sensed Data and Analytical Techniques in Post-Katrina Mississippi to Develop Storm Damage and Risk Assessment Models (Collins)

Integration of Population Genetic Structure and Climate Modeling: Sustaining Genetic Resources through Evaluation of Projected Threats (Richardson) 

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Biodiversity

Modeling contemporary climate profiles and predicting their response to global warming for several western forest species with small geographic distributions (Warwell)

Characterizing the Range and Variability of Pre-management Era and Future Vegetation to Support Forest Plan Revision, Project-level Planning, and Implementation in Central Oregon (Kennedy)

Assessment of Habitat Threats to Shrublands in the Great Basin: a Case Study (Rowland)

An Aquatic Multi-Scale Assessment and Planning “Framework” (Overton)

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8:00 am to noon, July 18

Welcome and Introduction to the Threat Centers (Beatty)

A Resource Managers Perspective on Threat Assessment (Connaughton)

Challenges in Bringing Risk Assessment into Forest and Rangeland Management (Lee)

State of the Science in Ecological Risk Assessment (Dale)

Risk and opportunity in wildland ecosystems: Pests, patches, and panarchy (Geils)

Conversions of Forestland:  Trends, Determinants, Projections, and Policy Considerations (Alig)

Risk-Based Assessment of Landscape Patterns at National Scale (Riitters)

The Forest Threat Encyclopedia Project (Rauscher/Pye)

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1:30 to 4:40 pm, July 18

Exotic Pests

A spatial model for predicting effects of climate change on Swiss needle cast disease severity in the Pacific Northwest (Stone)

Conifer-Infesting Adelgids: Pre-visual Detection for a Genus of Invasive Species of Insects in North American Forests (Cook)

A Landscape scale GIS Tool to Assess Eastern Hemlock Susceptibility to Hemlock Wooly Adelgid Infestation (Pontius)

Modeling the Introduction and Establishment Risk for Phytophthora alni in the United States (Downing)

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Modeling Potential Movements of a Ash Threat: the Emerald Ash Borer (Iverson)

Representing Human-Mediated Pathways in Forest Pest Risk Mapping (Koch)

The Role of Road Network Analysis in Assessing Threats and Planning for Threat Reduction (Furniss)

Spread of an Invasive Plant on Alaska’s Roads and River Networks: a Path Analysis (Wurtz)

Developing National-Scale Surveys for Exotic Pests and Defining Their Reliability (Smith)

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1:30 to 4:20 pm, July 18

Monitoring Methods

Insect and Pathogen Risk and Hazard Rating Systems for Use in Forest Threat Assessments (Smith)

Evaluating Risk to Forest Health and Sustainability with the Montreal Process Criteria and Indicators (Stolte)

Major stressors, effects, and risks to forest ecosystems throughout the United States (Stolte)

A National System for Rapid Detection and Assessment of Severe Disturbances in Forestlands (Czaplewski)

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Using Historical Imagery to Monitor and Assess Threats over Time (Evans)

Assessing Insect-Induced Tree Mortality Across Large Areas with High-Resolution Aerial Photography in a Multistage Sample (Hamilton)

Digital Aerial SketchMapping (Hinkley)

The Application of Hyperspectral and other Remote Sensing Technologies for the Monitoring and Assessment of Invasive Species (Ellenwood)

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8:00 am to noon, July 19

Managing Wildland Fire Risk in Florida (Brenner)

Effects of Scale on Analyzing and Managing Risk to Forest Biodiversity (Hummel)

Review of Models for Creating Probabilistic Risk Evaluations.  Part 1: The Usefulness of Fire Models (Weinstein)

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An Actuarial Approach to Modeling Wildfire Risk (Ager)

A Decision Support System for Evaluating Wildland Fire Danger and Prioritizing Vegetation and Fuels Treatments (Hessburg)

Assessing Risks to Multiple Resources Affected by Wildfire and Fuels Treatment Using an Integrated Probabilistic Framework (Norman)

Ecological Risk Assessment to Support Fuels Treatment Project Decisions (O’Laughlin)

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1:30 to 4:40 pm, July 19

Native Pests

Assessing Risk of a Destructive Forest Pathogen for Decision Making by Natural Resource Managers:  A Case Study of Oak Wilt at Ft. Hood, TX (Appel)

Risk Analysis and Guidelines for Harvest Activities in Wisconsin Oak Timberlands to Minimize Oak Wilt Threat (Juzwik)

Fire and Root Disease Interactions in Coniferous Forests of the Inland West: Development of decision tools and guidance for supporting healthy-forest management (Kim)

Nonpathogenic Fungi: Natural Regulators in Forest Ecosystems (Klopfenstein)

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The Influence of Multiple Stressors in Triggering Forest Understory Invasion by Native Plant Species (Royo)

A Methodology for Assessing Annual Risk of Southern Pine Beetle Outbreaks Across the Southern Region Using Pheromone Traps (Billings)

Development and Implementation of a Southern Pine Beetle Hazard Mapping System at the Landscape Scale in East Texas Using Satellite Imagery and Geospatial Data (Kouchoukos)

Threat Assessment Using an Integrative Approach of Probabilistic Risk Modeling and Stochastic Programming with an Application to Southern Pine Beetle Outbreaks (Prasodjo)

Air Pollution Increases Forest Susceptibility to Wildfires in Southern California (Grulke)

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1:30 to 4:40 pm, July 19

Statistical Methods

Modeling Current Climate Conditions for Forest Pest Risk Assessment (Koch)

Moderate Resolution Data and Gradient Nearest Neighbor Imputation for Regional-National Risk Assessment (Brewer)

Characterization of Uncertainty in Environmental and Biological Models Employed in Risk Assessment (Parresol)

Illustrating Approaches to Uncertainty Estimation for Map-Based Estimation Problems (McRoberts)

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Land

Threats to Private Forest Land in the USA (Stein)

Analyzing Risks to Protected Areas in Colorado Using the Human Modification Framework (Theobald)

Soil Quality is Fundamental to Ensuring Healthy Forests and Reducing Risks Associated with Forest Pest or Operations (Page-Dumroese)

Assessing the Threat that Anthropogenic Calcium Depletion Poses to Forest Health and Productivity (Schaberg)

Assessing Environmental Stress in Forests Using Cellular Markers (Minocha)

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8:00 am to noon, July 20

Economic Impacts of Hurricanes on Forest Owners (Prestemon)

Review of Methods for Developing Probabilistic Risk Assessments.  Part 2: Modeling Invasive Plants, Pests, and Pathogens (Woodbury)

Decision making under risk in invasive species management: risk management theory and applications from various disciplines (Mehta)

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Understanding and Predicting Range Expansion by Alien Forest Pests (Liebhold)

A Multi-Criteria Framework for Producing Local, Regional, and National Insect and Disease Risk Maps (Krist)

Assessing landscape scale risk of bark beetle infestation: methods and experience with Mountain Pine Beetle (Shore)

Application of Molecular Genetic Tools for Threat Assessment in Forest Ecosystems (Klopfenstein)

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1:30 to 5:00 pm, July 20

Fire

MC1 DGVM Seasonal Fire Forecasting for the Coterminous United States (Lenihan)

Information Needs, Tolerance for Risk, and Protection from Risk: The Case of National Predictive Services Customers (Winter)

Cascading Threat Model Applications in Conducting Hazard and Risk Assessment for Wildfire and Post-Burn Flash Flood (May)

Probabilistic Risk Models for Multiple Disturbances: An Example of Bark Beetles and Wildfire (Preisler)

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Establishing a Nationwide Baseline of Historical Burn Severity Data to Support Monitoring of Trends in Wildfire Effects and National Fire Policies (Schwind)

Integrating Natural Disturbances and Management Activities to Examine Risks and Opportunities in the Central Oregon Landscape Analysis (Hemstrom)

Wildland Arson: A Research Assessment (Prestemon)

Perceptions, Impacts, Actions, Shared Values and Trust: The Experience of Community Residents in a Fire-Prone Ecosystem (Winter)

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